Chart 12
Predicted probability of exit by real-exchange-rate changes and export status

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Predicted probability of exit by real-exchange-rate changes and export status
Note(s):  All variables are measured as deviations from 2-digit industry mean values. Predicted exit rate is evaluated at the common 2-digit industry mean values of trade cost (Figure 11) or real exchange rate changes (Figure 11), and at group-specific 2-digit industry mean values of productivity, employment and age. The plots cover the entire range of actual changes in tariffs and real exchange rates.