Table 3
Predicted probabilities of staying, moving to a region other than Alberta and moving to Alberta, based on the coefficient estimates from multinomial logit models in Table 2

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Predicted probabilities of staying, moving to a region other than Alberta and moving to Alberta, based on the coefficient estimates from multinomial logit models in Table 2
  1996 to 2000 2001 to 2005 Change
Stayed Moved not to Alberta Moved to Alberta Stayed Moved not to Alberta Moved not to Alberta Stayed Moved not to Alberta Moved to Alberta
  predicted probability 1 percent
A – Immigrants  
Model 1 98.00 1.80 0.21 97.79 1.95 0.26 -0.21 8.35 28.90
Model 2 97.97 1.82 0.20 97.82 1.92 0.27 -0.16 5.20 30.91
B – Comparison group  
Model 1 97.74 1.90 0.36 97.90 1.77 0.33 0.17 -7.07 -8.67
Model 2 97.76 1.89 0.35 97.88 1.78 0.34 0.12 -6.03 -2.18
C – Immigrants, with the characteristics of the comparison group  
Model 1 96.06 3.42 0.53 95.63 3.69 0.68 -0.44 7.99 28.65
Model 2 96.01 3.46 0.52 95.68 3.64 0.69 -0.35 4.94 30.73
1.
Multiplied by 100.
Source(s):
Statistics Canada, Longitudinal Administrative Databank.