Table 1.5
Leading indicators

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Leading indicators: Part 1
  Composite index 1
      Retail sales 3
Smoothed Business and personal services Housing 2 US index Furniture and appliances Other durables
v7688 v7679 v7680 v7681 v7684 v7685
  1992=100 ('000) 1992=100 ('000 000)
May 1997 132.1 2,049 100.0 103.3 1,171 5,827
June 1997 133.3 2,071 97.5 103.5 1,182 5,871
July 1997 134.6 2,082 95.8 103.6 1,187 5,928
August 1997 135.6 2,100 95.9 103.8 1,198 5,922
September 1997 137.0 2,119 95.5 104.0 1,207 5,954
October 1997 137.8 2,136 95.9 104.2 1,211 5,967
November 1997 138.5 2,150 96.0 104.4 1,220 5,995
December 1997 139.0 2,165 95.5 104.5 1,231 6,096
January 1998 139.5 2,178 94.2 104.6 1,236 6,131
February 1998 140.1 2,193 93.8 104.8 1,245 6,148
March 1998 140.5 2,205 93.0 104.9 1,255 6,156
April 1998 141.4 2,214 93.1 105.1 1,259 6,198
May 1998 142.3 2,229 93.0 105.2 1,264 6,126
June 1998 143.1 2,244 93.3 105.3 1,273 6,151
July 1998 143.3 2,257 92.5 105.4 1,281 6,175
August 1998 143.6 2,267 92.1 105.5 1,290 6,209
September 1998 143.6 2,277 91.5 105.5 1,294 6,218
October 1998 143.9 2,284 91.1 105.6 1,300 6,193
November 1998 144.3 2,292 90.5 105.8 1,310 6,219
December 1998 145.2 2,301 91.2 105.9 1,315 6,238
January 1999 146.2 2,318 90.0 106.2 1,326 6,281
February 1999 147.3 2,329 90.6 106.5 1,338 6,306
March 1999 148.4 2,341 91.8 106.8 1,344 6,389
April 1999 149.3 2,349 94.0 106.9 1,344 6,424
May 1999 150.1 2,355 95.6 107.1 1,353 6,429
June 1999 150.8 2,350 98.6 107.3 1,362 6,429
July 1999 151.6 2,348 99.5 107.5 1,376 6,452
August 1999 152.4 2,348 99.9 107.6 1,391 6,490
September 1999 153.0 2,346 100.2 107.8 1,406 6,552
October 1999 153.7 2,345 99.6 107.9 1,418 6,574
November 1999 154.6 2,349 99.1 107.9 1,417 6,609
December 1999 155.7 2,359 98.1 108.0 1,421 6,666
January 2000 156.7 2,365 97.7 108.2 1,435 6,716
February 2000 158.4 2,373 98.4 108.3 1,446 6,707
March 2000 160.1 2,381 100.4 108.4 1,452 6,812
April 2000 161.5 2,389 100.3 108.5 1,472 6,838
May 2000 162.6 2,397 100.5 108.5 1,486 6,845
June 2000 163.4 2,406 99.6 108.4 1,490 6,853
July 2000 164.4 2,421 99.3 108.4 1,506 6,947
August 2000 165.3 2,430 97.3 108.3 1,514 6,998
September 2000 166.4 2,448 97.6 108.2 1,522 7,072
October 2000 167.2 2,464 99.6 108.1 1,530 7,096
November 2000 167.4 2,476 101.4 107.9 1,537 7,097
December 2000 167.1 2,485 99.6 107.6 1,545 7,075
January 2001 166.7 2,495 102.0 107.5 1,568 7,082
February 2001 166.5 2,500 103.0 107.3 1,581 7,062
March 2001 166.2 2,500 102.9 107.1 1,598 7,081
April 2001 166.2 2,503 103.9 107.0 1,611 7,140
May 2001 166.0 2,500 106.5 107.1 1,617 7,177
June 2001 166.1 2,500 107.5 107.2 1,619 7,175
July 2001 166.1 2,494 107.6 107.4 1,627 7,207
August 2001 166.3 2,486 109.4 107.6 1,628 7,224
September 2001 166.4 2,477 109.5 107.7 1,629 7,149
October 2001 166.7 2,476 111.5 107.7 1,639 7,154
November 2001 166.8 2,482 112.4 107.8 1,650 7,225
December 2001 167.4 2,489 115.9 108.2 1,673 7,336
January 2002 169.0 2,503 121.9 108.6 1,701 7,484
February 2002 170.9 2,517 126.7 109.2 1,730 7,668
March 2002 173.1 2,528 129.8 109.7 1,750 7,756
April 2002 175.2 2,534 131.2 110.0 1,767 7,780
May 2002 176.6 2,541 132.1 110.2 1,773 7,749
June 2002 177.5 2,545 127.9 110.3 1,778 7,711
July 2002 178.2 2,545 126.3 110.3 1,783 7,683
August 2002 178.6 2,544 125.7 110.2 1,789 7,676
September 2002 178.9 2,546 125.9 110.2 1,795 7,661
October 2002 179.3 2,554 127.1 110.0 1,802 7,682
November 2002 179.4 2,566 128.5 109.9 1,809 7,640
December 2002 179.8 2,584 128.5 110.0 1,822 7,634
January 2003 180.1 2,597 128.5 110.0 1,836 7,607
February 2003 180.5 2,610 131.3 110.1 1,843 7,653
March 2003 180.7 2,622 130.4 110.3 1,848 7,648
April 2003 181.0 2,625 128.9 110.4 1,852 7,663
May 2003 181.1 2,620 129.3 110.8 1,862 7,697
June 2003 181.5 2,626 130.4 111.3 1,876 7,732
July 2003 182.1 2,626 131.4 112.1 1,895 7,750
August 2003 182.9 2,619 134.3 113.0 1,919 7,779
September 2003 184.2 2,620 138.5 114.0 1,940 7,793
October 2003 185.4 2,626 143.0 114.9 1,951 7,764
November 2003 186.8 2,627 143.1 115.7 1,960 7,720
December 2003 187.6 2,633 140.7 116.6 1,969 7,578
January 2004 188.7 2,633 137.1 117.5 1,977 7,447
February 2004 189.7 2,632 135.1 118.4 1,991 7,458
March 2004 191.1 2,627 136.5 119.3 2,009 7,463
April 2004 192.5 2,622 139.0 120.1 2,028 7,496
May 2004 194.2 2,614 141.8 120.9 2,041 7,560
June 2004 195.9 2,608 145.9 121.5 2,050 7,644
July 2004 197.0 2,608 147.6 122.2 2,062 7,635
August 2004 197.9 2,609 145.8 122.6 2,074 7,643
September 2004 198.7 2,611 144.4 122.9 2,090 7,664
October 2004 199.6 2,613 142.6 123.1 2,109 7,739
November 2004 200.0 2,612 142.2 123.4 2,122 7,777
December 2004 200.6 2,615 141.8 123.8 2,130 7,762
January 2005 201.4 2,618 138.7 124.1 2,148 7,771
February 2005 201.9 2,620 138.3 124.4 2,166 7,821
March 2005 202.4 2,612 138.1 124.6 2,185 7,831
April 2005 203.3 2,619 138.2 124.7 2,215 7,929
May 2005 204.0 2,620 138.9 124.6 2,235 8,000
June 2005 204.9 2,625 142.9 124.9 2,249 8,086
July 2005 205.7 2,630 145.6 125.0 2,257 8,190
August 2005 206.6 2,649 146.0 125.3 2,268 8,258
September 2005 207.7 2,659 146.4 125.3 2,276 8,135
October 2005 208.6 2,666 145.4 125.6 2,300 8,138
November 2005 209.2 2,672 144.3 125.8 2,316 8,131
December 2005 210.2 2,677 143.0 126.1 2,346 8,058
January 2006 211.1 2,683 145.9 126.5 2,391 8,073
February 2006 211.9 2,684 146.7 127.0 2,428 8,181
March 2006 213.2 2,687 150.1 127.4 2,460 8,280
April 2006 214.2 2,691 149.2 127.5 2,495 8,361
May 2006 215.4 2,703 149.0 127.4 2,522 8,447
June 2006 216.1 2,707 147.3 127.2 2,535 8,477
July 2006 217.0 2,719 145.8 127.1 2,550 8,590
August 2006 217.9 2,733 142.4 126.8 2,568 8,685
September 2006 218.6 2,747 141.3 126.7 2,589 8,729
October 2006 219.2 2,756 140.4 126.7 2,604 8,752
November 2006 220.1 2,769 139.8 126.7 2,608 8,801
December 2006 220.7 2,781 139.3 126.8 2,613 8,848
January 2007 221.9 2,794 143.5 127.0 2,623 8,865
February 2007 223.1 2,805 144.1 126.9 2,625 8,866
March 2007 224.1 2,820 144.9 126.9 2,633 8,950
April 2007 225.1 2,827 145.1 126.9 2,652 9,033
May 2007 226.3 2,836 147.7 126.8 2,673 9,150
June 2007 227.0 2,842 146.4 126.7 2,679 9,192
July 2007 227.9 2,850 148.4 126.9 2,700 9,245
August 2007 228.4 2,852 149.6 126.7 2,715 9,291
September 2007 229.1 2,863 152.5 126.6 2,725 9,285
October 2007 229.1 2,869 150.5 126.3 2,734 9,240
November 2007 228.9 2,875 149.8 126.0 2,761 9,276
December 2007 228.3 2,873 145.8 125.5 2,776 9,406
January 2008 228.6 2,877 143.9 125.2 2,798 9,497
February 2008 228.1 2,881 141.7 124.8 2,818 9,604
March 2008 227.8 2,894 141.6 124.5 2,838 9,676
April 2008 228.2 2,903 139.4 124.3 2,853 9,743
May 2008 229.0 2,917 141.7 124.2 2,872 9,747
June 2008 229.1 2,933 141.1 124.1 2,881 9,711
July 2008 229.5 2,937 137.1 123.9 2,910 9,702
August 2008 230.0 2,949 134.6 123.6 2,936 9,654
September 2008 229.5 2,953 133.8 123.2 2,959 9,637
October 2008 228.2 2,952 130.2 122.5 2,963 9,635
November 2008 226.8 2,948 123.1 121.8 2,966 9,587
December 2008 224.6 2,945 117.8 121.2 2,940 9,387
January 2009 222.1 2,932 109.6 120.7 2,917 9,355
February 2009 218.9 2,923 101.5 120.1 2,881 9,254
March 2009 215.8 2,917 97.8 119.7 2,850 9,200
April 2009 213.9 2,914 97.0 119.7 2,825 9,201
May 2009 213.8 2,913 98.0 120.0 2,813 9,392
June 2009 214.0 2,904 102.9 120.6 2,807 9,445
July 2009 215.5 2,898 108.6 121.5 2,811 9,546
August 2009 218.5 2,893 113.3 122.7 2,826 9,620
September 2009 221.2 2,883 119.9 123.9 2,836 9,762
October 2009 222.8 2,874 126.6 124.9 2,845 9,911
November 2009 225.6 2,884 130.4 125.9 2,847 10,008
December 2009 228.5 2,907 134.0 127.0 2,879 10,082
January 2010 230.1 2,918 135.8 128.1 2,907 10,075
February 2010 232.5 2,932 138.1 129.1 2,930 10,022
March 2010 235.1 2,950 138.1 130.3 2,957 9,979
April 2010 237.3 2,959 138.9 131.2 2,969 9,931
May 2010 239.1 2,955 136.4 131.9 2,952 9,887
June 2010 240.6 2,966 132.9 132.5 2,939 9,990
July 2010 242.0 2,975 128.0 133.0 2,918 10,074
August 2010 243.4 2,985 123.2 133.1 2,900 10,097
September 2010 243.0 2,982 119.3 133.5 2,896 10,197
October 2010 244.1 2,991 117.7 133.8 2,888 10,305
November 2010 245.2 2,979 120.0 134.4 2,882 10,358
December 2010 246.3 2,975 121.6 135.2 2,890 10,397
January 2011 247.8 2,964 123.4 136.1 2,892 10,394
February 2011 250.2 2,961 125.6 137.0 2,904 10,379
March 2011 252.0 2,956 127.9 138.0 2,924 10,398
April 2011 254.2 2,968 126.4 138.6 .. ..
May 2011 256.7 2,978 125.7 .. .. ..
Leading indicators: Part 2
  Composite index
Financial Manufacturing Unsmoothed
Money supply 3 TSX New orders, durables 3 Shipments-to-inventories ratio Work week  
v7682 v7678 v7683 v7686 v7677 v7687
  ('000 000) (1975=1000) ('000 000) ratio (hrs) 1992=100
May 1997 69,750 6,095 18,201 1.80 39.2 135.4
June 1997 70,177 6,161 18,055 1.79 39.4 135.7
July 1997 70,686 6,305 18,403 1.82 39.5 137.3
August 1997 71,266 6,457 18,409 1.82 39.6 137.3
September 1997 71,759 6,670 18,501 1.82 39.7 139.5
October 1997 72,404 6,762 18,658 1.83 39.5 139.0
November 1997 73,075 6,777 19,040 1.84 39.4 139.5
December 1997 73,587 6,741 18,863 1.82 39.2 139.7
January 1998 74,143 6,759 18,838 1.82 39.0 139.9
February 1998 75,263 6,769 18,828 1.82 38.8 142.2
March 1998 75,489 6,913 18,739 1.82 38.6 141.3
April 1998 76,236 7,143 18,680 1.83 38.5 143.8
May 1998 77,153 7,321 18,726 1.82 38.5 144.3
June 1998 77,744 7,455 18,789 1.81 38.4 144.1
July 1998 78,060 7,422 18,699 1.78 38.4 143.1
August 1998 79,035 7,017 18,843 1.77 38.4 142.9
September 1998 79,781 6,607 18,976 1.76 38.4 143.3
October 1998 80,096 6,330 19,272 1.76 38.5 145.9
November 1998 80,451 6,126 19,462 1.78 38.7 146.4
December 1998 80,419 6,037 19,797 1.81 38.9 147.6
January 1999 79,934 6,276 19,791 1.82 38.9 148.0
February 1999 79,478 6,416 20,237 1.83 38.9 148.8
March 1999 79,845 6,494 20,191 1.85 38.8 151.0
April 1999 79,376 6,628 20,261 1.86 38.7 151.3
May 1999 79,153 6,699 20,336 1.86 38.6 151.3
June 1999 79,270 6,755 20,571 1.88 38.7 151.8
July 1999 78,831 6,909 20,389 1.89 38.8 152.5
August 1999 78,643 6,984 20,703 1.90 38.8 154.9
September 1999 79,397 6,972 21,102 1.91 38.8 154.6
October 1999 79,757 7,055 21,361 1.91 38.8 154.9
November 1999 80,369 7,158 21,581 1.91 38.7 155.9
December 1999 82,016 7,424 21,830 1.91 38.7 158.3
January 2000 82,780 7,726 21,930 1.91 38.7 160.0
February 2000 83,964 8,161 21,908 1.91 38.8 162.7
March 2000 85,882 8,602 22,217 1.92 38.9 163.7
April 2000 87,987 8,967 22,130 1.92 39.0 162.6
May 2000 88,499 9,134 22,253 1.92 38.9 163.8
June 2000 89,663 9,477 22,555 1.92 38.9 164.4
July 2000 90,774 9,733 23,273 1.93 38.9 167.6
August 2000 91,579 10,090 23,317 1.91 39.0 168.2
September 2000 91,794 10,296 23,459 1.91 39.0 168.0
October 2000 93,126 10,373 23,527 1.89 39.0 167.7
November 2000 93,757 10,098 23,485 1.86 38.8 165.3
December 2000 94,081 9,804 23,188 1.85 38.8 166.2
January 2001 94,240 9,419 22,850 1.83 38.8 166.3
February 2001 94,953 8,959 22,971 1.81 38.8 167.1
March 2001 95,551 8,552 22,628 1.78 38.9 165.9
April 2001 96,355 8,378 22,347 1.77 38.9 165.7
May 2001 96,390 8,223 22,046 1.74 38.9 164.8
June 2001 96,929 7,906 21,946 1.72 38.9 167.0
July 2001 96,922 7,829 21,576 1.70 39.0 167.1
August 2001 96,970 7,787 21,455 1.69 39.0 166.8
September 2001 97,310 7,565 21,100 1.67 39.1 166.2
October 2001 98,826 7,310 20,499 1.66 39.1 166.3
November 2001 100,671 7,248 20,278 1.65 39.0 167.5
December 2001 102,837 7,248 20,080 1.65 38.9 170.3
January 2002 105,097 7,297 20,060 1.66 38.9 174.8
February 2002 106,657 7,457 20,368 1.68 38.9 175.7
March 2002 107,258 7,650 20,864 1.70 39.0 177.3
April 2002 107,423 7,697 21,336 1.74 39.0 177.7
May 2002 107,312 7,691 21,757 1.77 39.1 177.4
June 2002 107,434 7,591 22,052 1.78 39.1 179.7
July 2002 108,162 7,384 22,082 1.80 39.1 179.0
August 2002 109,207 7,136 22,170 1.81 39.2 179.1
September 2002 110,102 6,840 22,044 1.80 39.2 179.2
October 2002 111,141 6,558 21,956 1.80 39.2 179.7
November 2002 111,438 6,443 21,824 1.80 39.2 179.9
December 2002 110,974 6,445 21,474 1.78 39.2 181.1
January 2003 111,054 6,437 21,114 1.78 39.2 180.9
February 2003 110,533 6,512 20,770 1.77 39.2 180.8
March 2003 109,944 6,530 20,527 1.75 39.2 181.1
April 2003 109,899 6,534 20,163 1.73 39.2 181.1
May 2003 111,227 6,583 20,046 1.71 39.2 181.7
June 2003 112,065 6,665 19,965 1.69 39.1 182.6
July 2003 114,032 6,806 20,020 1.67 39.0 184.1
August 2003 115,996 7,039 19,771 1.67 38.9 185.0
September 2003 117,554 7,206 20,226 1.68 38.8 187.4
October 2003 117,793 7,389 20,447 1.70 38.8 187.7
November 2003 118,068 7,564 20,637 1.72 38.8 189.6
December 2003 117,985 7,757 20,968 1.74 38.7 188.4
January 2004 117,951 7,959 21,684 1.77 38.7 190.2
February 2004 118,475 8,232 21,811 1.78 38.7 192.5
March 2004 119,791 8,395 22,307 1.81 38.7 194.8
April 2004 121,413 8,472 22,727 1.84 38.7 196.5
May 2004 123,226 8,511 22,918 1.86 38.8 197.1
June 2004 125,724 8,516 23,053 1.88 38.7 198.7
July 2004 127,397 8,450 23,248 1.90 38.6 198.0
August 2004 128,766 8,408 23,307 1.91 38.5 199.0
September 2004 129,843 8,493 23,403 1.91 38.4 200.5
October 2004 130,707 8,584 23,724 1.91 38.4 201.6
November 2004 130,497 8,681 23,842 1.91 38.4 200.9
December 2004 130,899 8,839 24,035 1.89 38.3 201.2
January 2005 131,877 9,004 24,675 1.88 38.3 202.7
February 2005 133,232 9,204 24,965 1.87 38.3 203.1
March 2005 134,113 9,352 25,165 1.86 38.2 204.3
April 2005 136,047 9,420 25,444 1.85 38.2 205.2
May 2005 137,380 9,492 25,599 1.84 38.2 204.9
June 2005 138,310 9,632 25,436 1.83 38.2 207.3
July 2005 137,792 9,783 25,670 1.81 38.3 206.7
August 2005 137,649 9,994 25,962 1.82 38.3 209.1
September 2005 137,464 10,323 26,140 1.82 38.4 210.7
October 2005 137,657 10,478 26,413 1.84 38.5 209.4
November 2005 137,875 10,662 26,570 1.85 38.5 210.0
December 2005 139,740 10,832 26,906 1.86 38.5 211.9
January 2006 141,287 11,087 26,930 1.87 38.3 213.5
February 2006 142,883 11,223 26,920 1.87 38.1 214.9
March 2006 144,772 11,568 26,946 1.87 38.0 215.7
April 2006 146,178 11,844 26,611 1.87 37.9 215.0
May 2006 147,382 11,939 26,281 1.86 38.0 218.0
June 2006 149,097 11,872 26,125 1.86 38.0 217.0
July 2006 150,303 11,901 26,031 1.87 38.1 219.4
August 2006 150,907 11,893 25,750 1.87 38.3 219.8
September 2006 151,629 11,810 26,078 1.85 38.4 218.8
October 2006 153,439 11,930 25,832 1.83 38.3 220.8
November 2006 155,228 12,158 25,884 1.82 38.3 221.8
December 2006 157,277 12,373 26,323 1.81 38.3 222.5
January 2007 159,525 12,565 26,540 1.81 38.3 225.5
February 2007 161,732 12,817 26,808 1.82 38.3 225.1
March 2007 162,504 12,981 27,275 1.84 38.4 225.7
April 2007 163,138 13,114 27,327 1.84 38.5 226.7
May 2007 163,100 13,344 27,144 1.84 38.5 228.6
June 2007 163,564 13,518 26,958 1.84 38.5 229.0
July 2007 164,458 13,683 27,133 1.83 38.5 229.3
August 2007 165,655 13,782 26,680 1.82 38.5 228.2
September 2007 166,896 13,918 26,218 1.81 38.4 230.3
October 2007 168,100 14,032 25,997 1.81 38.4 228.9
November 2007 168,850 13,988 26,815 1.82 38.4 227.9
December 2007 169,576 13,981 25,925 1.80 38.3 226.3
January 2008 170,267 13,880 26,002 1.79 38.2 229.6
February 2008 170,595 13,777 26,422 1.80 38.1 227.6
March 2008 171,369 13,522 27,312 1.78 38.0 227.6
April 2008 171,931 13,572 26,718 1.76 37.9 229.9
May 2008 172,168 13,748 27,667 1.76 37.9 230.2
June 2008 172,138 14,010 28,474 1.76 37.9 230.2
July 2008 172,383 14,012 28,023 1.76 37.8 229.6
August 2008 172,897 14,097 27,679 1.76 37.8 229.9
September 2008 174,030 13,660 27,822 1.76 37.8 227.4
October 2008 176,148 12,669 28,823 1.75 37.6 224.0
November 2008 178,768 11,630 27,812 1.73 37.6 221.8
December 2008 181,834 10,709 26,584 1.69 37.1 218.6
January 2009 185,011 9,694 23,728 1.64 36.9 217.2
February 2009 187,580 8,968 22,017 1.60 36.7 211.4
March 2009 189,656 8,759 19,504 1.58 36.5 210.2
April 2009 191,631 8,770 17,882 1.56 36.3 212.1
May 2009 193,037 9,047 16,943 1.55 36.5 217.9
June 2009 194,038 9,383 18,473 1.56 36.6 218.2
July 2009 196,002 9,915 17,908 1.59 36.7 219.0
August 2009 198,200 10,345 17,095 1.60 36.9 225.1
September 2009 200,323 10,759 18,266 1.63 37.1 225.7
October 2009 202,959 10,867 19,791 1.66 37.1 225.8
November 2009 205,641 11,082 19,522 1.70 37.0 232.2
December 2009 207,903 11,273 20,704 1.73 36.9 233.8
January 2010 209,709 11,319 21,225 1.77 36.7 233.1
February 2010 211,503 11,366 21,203 1.80 36.5 237.4
March 2010 212,990 11,591 21,986 1.84 36.5 238.8
April 2010 214,194 11,744 22,406 1.87 36.6 243.2
May 2010 215,511 11,747 23,082 1.90 36.7 242.9
June 2010 216,810 11,787 24,434 1.92 36.7 240.8
July 2010 217,796 11,804 23,918 1.93 36.8 244.1
August 2010 218,689 11,779 23,941 1.93 36.8 245.9
September 2010 219,921 11,811 23,926 1.94 36.6 241.3
October 2010 220,827 11,993 23,677 1.93 36.7 248.5
November 2010 221,551 12,325 23,153 1.93 36.8 246.0
December 2010 222,504 12,671 23,571 1.94 36.8 249.8
January 2011 223,701 12,999 23,476 1.96 37.0 253.5
February 2011 224,740 13,352 23,762 1.97 37.3 253.2
March 2011 225,642 13,643 26,100 1.99 37.4 257.8
April 2011 226,315 13,841 .. .. 37.6 257.0
May 2011 226,650 13,913 .. .. 37.7 261.9
1.
1992=100.
2.
Average of existing home sales and housing starts.
3.
Millions of 1992 dollars.
Source(s):
Contact: Francine Roy (613-951-3627). Cansim table: 377-0003.