Population projections

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All (49)

All (49) (40 to 50 of 49 results)

  • 41. Projecting the Future Availability of the Informal Support Network of the Elderly Population and Assessing Its Impact on Home Care Services Archived
    Articles and reports: 91F0015M2008009
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    In Canada, there has been growing discussion over the aging of the population and other socio-demographic trends which affect the availability of the informal support network of the elderly population. Noting the lower fertility rates of baby boomers, the increased participation of women in the labour force and changing family structure in terms of increased divorce and reconstituted families, assumptions of continued high level assistance from informal support networks - family and friends - are often criticized.

    The main objective of this research is to project the future availability of informal support network to meet the need for assistance in performing everyday activities among the disabled elderly population for the period 2001 to 2031. The research examined both sides - supply and demand - of the projected increases in need for assistance for disabled older persons. Future trends are analyzed in terms of demand for support, (that is, changes in the rates of disability among the elderly population), and supply of informal support, (which is largely related to the extent and composition of the family network). Data from two national surveys, the 1996 National Population Health Survey (NPHS) and the 1996 General Social Survey (GSS), are used to identify factors associated with disability and sources of assistance among the elderly population. These results were entered into Statistics Canada's LifePaths microsimulation model to project the use of informal and formal networks in the future. The model also incorporates three disability scenarios to test the sensitivity of the projections when different assumptions are considered. The implications of these trends on the future need for chronic home care services are discussed.

    The results show that for the period 2001 to 2031, the average annual growth rate of the number of disabled elderly needing assistance could be about 2.5%. However, the sensitivity analysis shows that an improvement in the health of the population could reduce in a non negligible way this growth rate.

    The results also show that, all things being equal, a greater proportion of elderly persons living with a spouse would relieve some of the pressure on the formal network. This positive effect could be dampened in part when joint survivorship is also meaning joint disability.

    Release date: 2008-12-18
  • 42. Labour force projections for Canada, 2006-2031 Archived
    Articles and reports: 11-010-X20070069980
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    The labour force participation rate will inevitably decline over the next two decades. This reflects the retirement of the boomer generation and a low birth rate in recent years. Various scenarios involving increased immigration and keeping older workers in the labour force longer can mitigate but not reverse these trends

    Release date: 2007-06-15
  • 43. Ethnocultural diversity in Canada: Prospects for 2017 Archived
    Articles and reports: 11-008-X20050038968
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    This article uses Statistics Canada's most recent population projections for visible minority groups to draw a picture of the possible ethnocultural composition of the country when Canada celebrates its 150th anniversary in 2017. It focuses on a number of issues: How many Canadians might belong to a visible minority group in the near future? How many landed immigrants might there be? What are the predominant visible minority groups likely to be? Is diversity likely to remain concentrated in Canada's major urban centres?

    Release date: 2005-12-06
  • 44. Projections of the Aboriginal Populations, Canada, Provinces and Territories Archived
    Table: 91-547-X
    Description:

    This analytical report presents population projections of the Aboriginal groups for Canada, provinces and territories, and for different types of residential areas. The projections cover the 2001 to 2017 period and show the contribution of the Aboriginal groups to the general demographic profile of Canada in 2017, the 150th anniversary of its Confederation. The report includes a description of the model used to produce the projections, assumptions which were developed for the future evolution of fertility, mortality and migration of the Aboriginal groups, and the major conclusions from the analysis of five projection scenarios.

    Release date: 2005-06-28
  • 45. Population Projections of Visible Minority Groups, Canada, Provinces and Regions Archived
    Table: 91-541-X
    Description:

    This report presents the main results of population projections according to some ethnocultural variables (visible minority group, immigrant status, religion, mother tongue) for Canada, provinces and selected metropolitan areas. Based on the January 1st 2001 estimation of the permanent resident population, results of five projection scenarios from a micro-simulation model that take into account differentials in behaviors and intergenerational transfers are presented for the years 2001 to 2017.

    Release date: 2005-03-22
  • 46. Fertility Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories, 1993-2016 Archived
    Articles and reports: 91F0015M1996001
    Geography: Canada
    Description:

    This paper describes the methodology for fertility projections used in the 1993-based population projections by age and sex for Canada, provinces and territories, 1993-2016. A new version of the parametric model known as the Pearsonian Type III curve was applied for projecting fertility age pattern. The Pearsonian Type III model is considered as an improvement over the Type I used in the past projections. This is because the Type III curve better portrays both the distribution of the age-specific fertility rates and the estimates of births. Since the 1993-based population projections are the first official projections to incorporate the net census undercoverage in the population base, it has been necessary to recalculate fertility rates based on the adjusted population estimates. This recalculation resulted in lowering the historical series of age-specific and total fertility rates, 1971-1993. The three sets of fertility assumptions and projections were developed with these adjusted annual fertility rates.

    It is hoped that this paper will provide valuable information about the technical and analytical aspects of the current fertility projection model. Discussions on the current and future levels and age pattern of fertility in Canada, provinces and territories are also presented in the paper.

    Release date: 1996-08-02
  • 47. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 3602
    Description: This statistical program develops population projections for Canada, provinces and territories by age and sex, based on various assumptions on the components of population growth.
  • 48. Population projections on immigration and diversity for Canada and its regions
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 5126
    Description: This statistical program develops projections of the ethnocultural composition of population for Canada, provinces and census metropolitan areas, based on various assumptions and scenarios on population growth components.
  • 49. Projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 5131
    Description: This statistical program develops projections of the Aboriginal population and households for Canada, the provinces and territories, census metropolitan areas (CMAs) and other selected regions. These projections are based on various assumptions and scenarios about components—demographic or otherwise—of growth.
Data (14)

Data (14) (0 to 10 of 14 results)

  • 1. Population projections on immigration and diversity: Interactive Dashboard
    Data Visualization: 71-607-X2022012
    Description:

    This interactive dashboard provides an overview of population projections on immigration and diversity prepared using the Demosim microsimulation projection model. Showing results coming from several projection scenarios, this tool allows users to quickly and easily explore data-such as population counts by geography, age group and generation status. Information is presented for the overall Canadian population as well as for each racialized group at various geographic levels including census metropolitan areas, provinces and territories.

    Release date: 2022-10-06
  • 2. Projected population by racialized group, generation status and other selected characteristics
    Table: 17-10-0146-01
    Geography: Canada, Geographical region of Canada, Province or territory, Census metropolitan area, Census metropolitan area part
    Frequency: Occasional
    Description:

    Projected population (in thousands) by racialized group, generation status, age group, sex, census metropolitan area of residence, provinces and territories of residence, Canada, 2016 (observed) and 2017 to 2041 (projected according to eleven scenarios).

    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 3. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories
    Table: 91-520-X
    Description: This report presents the results of the population projections by age group and sex for Canada, the provinces and territories. These projections are based on assumptions that take into account the most recent trends relating to components of population growth, particularly fertility, mortality, immigration, emigration and interprovincial migration.

    The detailed data tables are available in CODR: tables 1710005701 and 1710005801.

    Release date: 2022-08-22
  • 4. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories: Interactive Dashboard
    Data Visualization: 71-607-X2022015
    Description:

    This data visualization product provides interactive insights on the most recent population projections for Canada, provinces and territories.

    Release date: 2022-08-22
  • 5. Projected population, by projection scenario, age and sex, as of July 1
    Table: 17-10-0057-01
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: Projected population to year 2063 according to 7 scenarios, age groups and sex, Canada, provinces and territories.
    Release date: 2022-08-22
  • 6. Population projections of the Canadian population, for Canada, provinces and territories
    Table: 17-10-0057-02
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: The projected population of the Canadian population by projection scenario.
    Release date: 2022-08-22
  • 7. Components of projected population growth, by projection scenario
    Table: 17-10-0058-01
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: Components of projected population growth by scenario: births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants, returning emigrants, net temporary emigrants, net interprovincial migration, net non-permanent residents, residual deviation.
    Release date: 2022-08-22
  • 8. Projections of the Indigenous Populations: Interactive Dashboard
    Data Visualization: 71-607-X2021022
    Description: This interactive dashboard provides an overview of Indigenous populations projections using the most recent results of the Demosim microsimulation projection model. Showing results coming from several projection scenarios, this tool allows users to quickly and easily explore data-such as population counts by geography and age group. Information for the overall Indigenous population as well as for specific Indigenous populations, notably, Registered Indians, First Nations people, Métis and Inuit are presented for all provinces and territories.
    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 9. Projected population by Indigenous identity, age group, sex, area of residence, provinces and territories, and projection scenario, Canada
    Table: 17-10-0144-01
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: Projected population (in thousands) by Indigenous identity, age group, sex, area of residence, provinces and territories, Canada, 2016 (observed) and 2017 to 2041 (projected according to three scenarios).
    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 10. Population projections of the Indigenous population, for Canada, provinces and territories
    Table: 17-10-0144-02
    Geography: Canada, Province or territory
    Frequency: Annual
    Description: The projected population of the Indigenous population by projection scenario.
    Release date: 2021-10-06
Analysis (31)

Analysis (31) (0 to 10 of 31 results)

  • 1. Canada in 2041: A larger, more diverse population with greater differences between regions
    Stats in brief: 11-001-X202225134743
    Description: Release published in The Daily – Statistics Canada’s official release bulletin
    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 2. Population projections on immigration and diversity for Canada and its regions, 2016 to 2041: Overview of projection assumptions and scenarios
    Articles and reports: 17-20-00012022001
    Description:

    This document briefly describes the assumptions and scenarios that were selected for the population projections for Canada and its regions on the themes of immigration and diversity for the period 2016 to 2041, produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 3. Demosim: Reports and Analytical Studies
    Articles and reports: 17-20-0001
    Description: Demosim: Reports and Analytical Studies, published occasionally by the Centre for Demography of Statistics Canada, features analytical, technical and methodological documents related to Demosim, a microsimulation model designed to produce demographic projections for specific populations such as Indigenous peoples, immigrants and racialized groups. These documents are intended for a broad audience including demographers, researchers, policy makers as well as members of the general public interested in Canadian population trends.
    Release date: 2022-09-08
  • 4. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories
    Table: 91-520-X
    Description: This report presents the results of the population projections by age group and sex for Canada, the provinces and territories. These projections are based on assumptions that take into account the most recent trends relating to components of population growth, particularly fertility, mortality, immigration, emigration and interprovincial migration.

    The detailed data tables are available in CODR: tables 1710005701 and 1710005801.

    Release date: 2022-08-22
  • 5. Indigenous Population in Canada - Projections to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-627-M2021066
    Description:

    This infographic briefly describes key results from the projections of the Indigenous populations in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041. Using different projection scenarios, it presents projection results through various demographic indicators. These projections are produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 6. First Nations people in Canada - Projections to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-627-M2021067
    Description:

    This infographic briefly describes key results from the demographic projections of the First Nations people in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041. Using different projection scenarios, it presents projection results through various demographic indicators. These projections are produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 7. Métis in Canada - Projections to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-627-M2021068
    Description:

    This infographic briefly describes key results from the demographic projections of the Métis in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041. Using different projection scenarios, it presents projection results through various demographic indicators. These projections are produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 8. Inuit in Canada - Projections to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-627-M2021069
    Description:

    This infographic briefly describes key results from the demographic projections of the Inuit in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041. Using different projection scenarios, it presents projection results through various demographic indicators. These projections are produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 9. Registered or Treaty Indians in Canada - Projections to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-627-M2021070
    Description:

    This infographic briefly describes key results from the demographic projections of the Registered or Treaty Indians in Canada for the period 2016 to 2041. Using different projection scenarios, it presents projection results through various demographic indicators. These projections are produced using the Demosim microsimulation projection model.

    Release date: 2021-10-06
  • 10. Projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada 2016 to 2041 Archived
    Stats in brief: 11-001-X202127931263
    Description: Release published in The Daily – Statistics Canada’s official release bulletin
    Release date: 2021-10-06
Reference (5)

Reference (5) ((5 results))

  • 1. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories: Technical Report on Methodology and Assumptions
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 91-620-X
    Description: This report aims to describe the methods used for the calculation of projection parameters, the various projection assumptions and their rationales.
    Release date: 2022-08-22
  • 2. Projections of Aboriginal Families and Households in Canada Archived
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 11-522-X201300014290
    Description:

    This paper describes a new module that will project families and households by Aboriginal status using the Demosim microsimulation model. The methodology being considered would assign a household/family headship status annually to each individual and would use the headship rate method to calculate the number of annual families and households by various characteristics and geographies associated with Aboriginal populations.

    Release date: 2014-10-31
  • 3. Population Projections for Canada, Provinces and Territories
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 3602
    Description: This statistical program develops population projections for Canada, provinces and territories by age and sex, based on various assumptions on the components of population growth.
  • 4. Population projections on immigration and diversity for Canada and its regions
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 5126
    Description: This statistical program develops projections of the ethnocultural composition of population for Canada, provinces and census metropolitan areas, based on various assumptions and scenarios on population growth components.
  • 5. Projections of the Indigenous populations and households in Canada
    Surveys and statistical programs – Documentation: 5131
    Description: This statistical program develops projections of the Aboriginal population and households for Canada, the provinces and territories, census metropolitan areas (CMAs) and other selected regions. These projections are based on various assumptions and scenarios about components—demographic or otherwise—of growth.
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