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- 1. Slowdowns during periods of economic growth ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-010-X201001211393Geography: CanadaDescription:
Output and employment growth regularly slows, as occurred over the summer of 2010. This paper looks at slowdowns over the last three decades, and finds they occur in response to a wide range of cyclical and irregular factors. However, they rarely if ever turn into recessions.
Release date: 2010-12-09 - 2. The evolution of the global financial crisis and cross-border financial activity, 2007-2010 ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-010-X201000911343Geography: CanadaDescription:
A review of how the unfolding of the global financial crisis was reflected in securities transactions and investment flows into and out of Canada.
Release date: 2010-09-16 - Articles and reports: 11-010-X201000711321Geography: CanadaDescription:
Inventory changes dominated the business cycle in the 1960s and 1970s. However, inventories have played little role in the last three recessions, thanks to tighter control of stocks.
Release date: 2010-07-15 - 4. Natural resource wealth, 1990 to 2009 ArchivedArticles and reports: 16-002-X201000211284Geography: CanadaDescription: Natural resources such as oil and gas, timber and minerals are an important component of Canada's wealth, generating income, employment and exports. This article examines growth in resource wealth.Release date: 2010-06-29
- 5. Export Market Dynamics and Plant-level Productivity: Impact of Tariff Reductions and Exchange Rate Cycles ArchivedArticles and reports: 11F0027M2010063Geography: CanadaDescription:
This paper examines how trade liberalization and fluctuations in real exchange rates affect export-market entry/exit and plant-level productivity. It uses the experience of Canadian manufacturing plants over three separate periods that featuring different rates of bilateral tariff reduction and differing movements in bilateral real exchange rates. The patterns of entry and exit responses as well as the productivity outcomes differ markedly in the three periods. Consistent with much of the recent literature, the paper finds that plants self-select into export markets-that is, more efficient plants are more likely to enter and less likely to exit export markets. The reverse also occurs: entrants to export markets improve their productivity performance relative to the population from which they originated and plants that stay in export markets do better than comparable plants that exited, lending support to the thesis that exporting boosts productivity. Finally, we find that overall market access conditions, including real exchange rate trends, significantly affect the extent of productivity gains to be derived from participating in export markets. In particular, the increase in the value of the Canadian dollar during the post-2002 period almost completely offset the productivity growth advantages that new export-market participants would otherwise have enjoyed.
Release date: 2010-06-25 - Articles and reports: 11F0027M2010062Geography: CanadaDescription:
This paper produces an estimate of market-based human capital investment and stock for Canada over the period from 1970 to 2007 based on the lifetime income approach and compares it with that of physical and natural capital investment and stock. It adopts the methodology developed by Jorgenson and Fraumeni, and estimates human capital stock as the expected future lifetime income of all individuals. Human capital investment is estimated as changes in human capital stock due to the addition of new members of the working age population arising from the rearing and education of children and the effect of immigration on human capital.
The main findings are as follows:
1. The volume of aggregate human capital rose at an annual rate of 1.7% in Canada for the period 1970 to 2007, and most of the growth is due to the increase in the number of individuals in the working-age population. The rising education level of the Canadian population is also a significant contributing factor to the growth in human capital.
2. The compositional effects of aging of the Canadian population (a movement to a population that is older on average) reduced human capital growth by 0.6% per year over the period 1980 to 2007, while the rising education level increased human capital growth by 0.7% per year over the period.
3. Human capital stock on a per capita basis increased at 0.9% per year for the period 1970 to 1980, due to the rising education attainment during the period. After 1980, human capital stock per capita was virtually unchanged due to two offsetting factors: rising education level which increased human capital stock and the compositional effects of population aging, which reduced human capital stock.
4. The value of human capital investment and stock exceeds the value of physical capital investment and stock, and the ratio of human capital investment and stock to physical capital investment and stock declined over time. In 2007, human capital stock is about four times as large as physical capital stock while investment in human capital is about two times the magnitude of investment in physical capital.
5. The levels of human capital investment and stock estimates are sensitive to the assumptions made about expected future income growth and the rate used to discount the future income when calculating human capital, but the growth of the quantity and price of human capital investment and stock is not sensitive to the assumptions in these areas.
Release date: 2010-06-16 - Journals and periodicals: 11-624-MGeography: CanadaDescription:
This series contains short analytical articles providing statistical insights on emerging issues in the economy such as productivity, innovation and technology use. These articles briefly describe the issues and the results examined by these research papers.
The articles describe issues on a wide range of topics, including - the amount of dynamic competition taking place as a result of the entry of new firms and the exit of closed firms; - the amount of merger activity taking place; - the difference between multinational and domestic firms; - the productivity growth in Canada; - the changes in the geographic location of industry; - the problems in small-firm financing; - the changing industrial structure of different regions; - how the economy interacts with the environment; - the changes in trade patterns; - Canada/United States price differences; - the innovation process in Canada; - the differences between small and large producers; - the changing patterns of advanced technology use and its effect on firm performance; - the type of strategies that differentiate more-successful from less-successful firms.
Release date: 2010-06-08 - Stats in brief: 13-605-X201000211163Geography: CanadaDescription:
Revised estimates of the Income and Expenditure Accounts covering the period 2006 to 2009 have been released along with those for the first quarter of 2010. The current revisions to GDP resulted from the inclusion of the most current estimates from data sources, including survey results, administrative data and public accounts.
Release date: 2010-05-31 - 9. The accelerated pace of the 2008-2009 downturn ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-010-X201000511164Geography: CanadaDescription:
Financial and commodity markets saw declines late in 2008 that set records for both speed and severity. This paper explores some of the reasons for these rapid declines and their implications for output and employment.
Release date: 2010-05-13 - 10. Year-end review of 2009 ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-010-X201000411150Geography: CanadaDescription:
The global recession of 2008-2009 was less severe and shorter in Canada. While exports and corporate profits fell sharply due to the global recession, domestic spending was sustained by strong balance sheets and savings built up in previous years and a financial system that emerged largely unscathed from the crisis in the US and Europe. The industrial pattern of the recession in Canada was quite similar to previous recessions.
Release date: 2010-04-15
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Analysis (14)
Analysis (14) (0 to 10 of 14 results)
- 1. Slowdowns during periods of economic growth ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-010-X201001211393Geography: CanadaDescription:
Output and employment growth regularly slows, as occurred over the summer of 2010. This paper looks at slowdowns over the last three decades, and finds they occur in response to a wide range of cyclical and irregular factors. However, they rarely if ever turn into recessions.
Release date: 2010-12-09 - 2. The evolution of the global financial crisis and cross-border financial activity, 2007-2010 ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-010-X201000911343Geography: CanadaDescription:
A review of how the unfolding of the global financial crisis was reflected in securities transactions and investment flows into and out of Canada.
Release date: 2010-09-16 - Articles and reports: 11-010-X201000711321Geography: CanadaDescription:
Inventory changes dominated the business cycle in the 1960s and 1970s. However, inventories have played little role in the last three recessions, thanks to tighter control of stocks.
Release date: 2010-07-15 - 4. Natural resource wealth, 1990 to 2009 ArchivedArticles and reports: 16-002-X201000211284Geography: CanadaDescription: Natural resources such as oil and gas, timber and minerals are an important component of Canada's wealth, generating income, employment and exports. This article examines growth in resource wealth.Release date: 2010-06-29
- 5. Export Market Dynamics and Plant-level Productivity: Impact of Tariff Reductions and Exchange Rate Cycles ArchivedArticles and reports: 11F0027M2010063Geography: CanadaDescription:
This paper examines how trade liberalization and fluctuations in real exchange rates affect export-market entry/exit and plant-level productivity. It uses the experience of Canadian manufacturing plants over three separate periods that featuring different rates of bilateral tariff reduction and differing movements in bilateral real exchange rates. The patterns of entry and exit responses as well as the productivity outcomes differ markedly in the three periods. Consistent with much of the recent literature, the paper finds that plants self-select into export markets-that is, more efficient plants are more likely to enter and less likely to exit export markets. The reverse also occurs: entrants to export markets improve their productivity performance relative to the population from which they originated and plants that stay in export markets do better than comparable plants that exited, lending support to the thesis that exporting boosts productivity. Finally, we find that overall market access conditions, including real exchange rate trends, significantly affect the extent of productivity gains to be derived from participating in export markets. In particular, the increase in the value of the Canadian dollar during the post-2002 period almost completely offset the productivity growth advantages that new export-market participants would otherwise have enjoyed.
Release date: 2010-06-25 - Articles and reports: 11F0027M2010062Geography: CanadaDescription:
This paper produces an estimate of market-based human capital investment and stock for Canada over the period from 1970 to 2007 based on the lifetime income approach and compares it with that of physical and natural capital investment and stock. It adopts the methodology developed by Jorgenson and Fraumeni, and estimates human capital stock as the expected future lifetime income of all individuals. Human capital investment is estimated as changes in human capital stock due to the addition of new members of the working age population arising from the rearing and education of children and the effect of immigration on human capital.
The main findings are as follows:
1. The volume of aggregate human capital rose at an annual rate of 1.7% in Canada for the period 1970 to 2007, and most of the growth is due to the increase in the number of individuals in the working-age population. The rising education level of the Canadian population is also a significant contributing factor to the growth in human capital.
2. The compositional effects of aging of the Canadian population (a movement to a population that is older on average) reduced human capital growth by 0.6% per year over the period 1980 to 2007, while the rising education level increased human capital growth by 0.7% per year over the period.
3. Human capital stock on a per capita basis increased at 0.9% per year for the period 1970 to 1980, due to the rising education attainment during the period. After 1980, human capital stock per capita was virtually unchanged due to two offsetting factors: rising education level which increased human capital stock and the compositional effects of population aging, which reduced human capital stock.
4. The value of human capital investment and stock exceeds the value of physical capital investment and stock, and the ratio of human capital investment and stock to physical capital investment and stock declined over time. In 2007, human capital stock is about four times as large as physical capital stock while investment in human capital is about two times the magnitude of investment in physical capital.
5. The levels of human capital investment and stock estimates are sensitive to the assumptions made about expected future income growth and the rate used to discount the future income when calculating human capital, but the growth of the quantity and price of human capital investment and stock is not sensitive to the assumptions in these areas.
Release date: 2010-06-16 - Journals and periodicals: 11-624-MGeography: CanadaDescription:
This series contains short analytical articles providing statistical insights on emerging issues in the economy such as productivity, innovation and technology use. These articles briefly describe the issues and the results examined by these research papers.
The articles describe issues on a wide range of topics, including - the amount of dynamic competition taking place as a result of the entry of new firms and the exit of closed firms; - the amount of merger activity taking place; - the difference between multinational and domestic firms; - the productivity growth in Canada; - the changes in the geographic location of industry; - the problems in small-firm financing; - the changing industrial structure of different regions; - how the economy interacts with the environment; - the changes in trade patterns; - Canada/United States price differences; - the innovation process in Canada; - the differences between small and large producers; - the changing patterns of advanced technology use and its effect on firm performance; - the type of strategies that differentiate more-successful from less-successful firms.
Release date: 2010-06-08 - Stats in brief: 13-605-X201000211163Geography: CanadaDescription:
Revised estimates of the Income and Expenditure Accounts covering the period 2006 to 2009 have been released along with those for the first quarter of 2010. The current revisions to GDP resulted from the inclusion of the most current estimates from data sources, including survey results, administrative data and public accounts.
Release date: 2010-05-31 - 9. The accelerated pace of the 2008-2009 downturn ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-010-X201000511164Geography: CanadaDescription:
Financial and commodity markets saw declines late in 2008 that set records for both speed and severity. This paper explores some of the reasons for these rapid declines and their implications for output and employment.
Release date: 2010-05-13 - 10. Year-end review of 2009 ArchivedArticles and reports: 11-010-X201000411150Geography: CanadaDescription:
The global recession of 2008-2009 was less severe and shorter in Canada. While exports and corporate profits fell sharply due to the global recession, domestic spending was sustained by strong balance sheets and savings built up in previous years and a financial system that emerged largely unscathed from the crisis in the US and Europe. The industrial pattern of the recession in Canada was quite similar to previous recessions.
Release date: 2010-04-15
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