Canada's population estimates, second quarter 2026
Released: 2026-09-23
Population estimates for Canada, the provinces, and territories on July 1, 2026, are now available. These new data allow for an analysis of population change during the second quarter of 2026. Updated estimates from the third quarter of 2021 to the first quarter of 2026 are also available. Demographic estimates up to and including the second quarter of 2023 are now final.
Note to readers
The demographic estimates for the second quarter of 2026 released today are considered preliminary and will be updated following the standard procedure followed by Statistics Canada for decades. They are based on 2021 Census of Population counts, adjusted for census net undercoverage and incompletely enumerated reserves and settlements. To these counts, the population growth estimates for the period from May 11, 2021, to the date of the estimate are added. These estimates are not to be confused with the 2026 Census population counts, which will be released on February 10, 2027.
Statistics Canada's demographic estimates are updated every year through its usual process, alongside the annual September release for the second quarter. Several factors may explain why preliminary estimates differ from the updated and final estimates released in subsequent years. For example, if there is a long gap between the expiration of one non-permanent resident permit and the issuance of the next, it may result in a decrease of one person in the preliminary estimates; however, this would not be reflected in the updated and final estimates. Moreover, the schedule for updated and final estimates provides more time for receiving late registrations of births and deaths, as well as for using more complete data sources, such as annual tax files used to measure interprovincial migration.
Canada's population clock (real-time model)
Canada's population clock (real-time model) was updated today with the most recent data from quarterly population estimates released by Statistics Canada.
Canada's population clock is an interactive learning tool aiming to give Canadians a sense of the pace of the country's population renewal. The population estimates and census counts remain the measures used by various government programs.
Acknowledgements
The Demographic Estimates Program of Statistics Canada is grateful for the ongoing partnership with Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, which greatly contributes to the accuracy of the estimations of immigrants and non-permanent residents.
Products
The product "Quarterly demographic estimates, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (71-607-X) is available.
The product "Quarterly estimates of international migration components, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (71-607-X) is also available.
The product "Quarterly estimates of the number of non-permanent residents by type, provinces and territories: Interactive dashboard" (71-607-X) is also available.
The product "Canada's population clock (real-time model)" (71-607-X) is also available.
The Population and demography statistics, Immigrants and Non-permanent Residents Statistics and Older adults and population aging statistics portals are also available.
Contact information
For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact us (toll-free 1-800-263-1136; 514-283-8300; infostats@statcan.gc.ca) or Media Relations (statcan.mediahotline-ligneinfomedias.statcan@statcan.gc.ca).
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