Trend-cycle estimation: Concepts, interpretation and calculation

Released: 2026-06-08

The reference document "Trend-cycle estimation: Concepts, interpretation, and calculation, 2026," provides definitions, explanations and examples related to the use, interpretation and calculation of trend-cycle estimates for seasonally adjusted data. It replaces and combines the documents ''Trend-cycle estimates – Frequently asked questions'' and ''Details on calculation of trend-cycle estimates at Statistics Canada.'' The document is designed to complement more technical discussions of seasonal adjustment and trend-cycle estimation found in Statistics Canada publications and reference manuals.

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The reference document "Trend-cycle estimation: Concepts, interpretation, and calculation, 2026," which is part of Statistical Methods Reference Documents, is now available.

Contact information

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