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Monday, September 29, 2003

National Tourism Indicators

Second quarter 2003

Tourism plunged in the second quarter, as real spending in Canada by tourists fell 4.3% from the first quarter. This was the largest quarterly decline on record for the National Tourism Indicators, which go back to the first quarter of 1986. The outbreak of severe accute respiratory syndrome (SARS) was the major factor behind the decline, as the number of international visitors, particularly from Asia, plummeted. Tourism spending in Canada fell to $12.2 billion, $1.2 billion below its peak in the fourth quarter of 2000 and its lowest level since the fourth quarter of 1998.

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Sharp decline in international visitors

A sharp 14% decline in international visitors to Canada, from the United States and elsewhere, sent tourism into a tailspin in the second quarter. Concerns over SARS, among other factors such as a stronger Canadian dollar vis-à-vis its US counterpart, the Iraq war and sluggish tourism globally, contributed to the decline. Spending by international visitors was down 13% to the lowest level since the first quarter of 1997.


Note to readers

With the second quarter 2003 release of the National Tourism Indicators (NTI), tourism gross domestic product at basic prices, in current and constant 1997 dollars, is now available. Previously, estimates were only made at current prices and on a factor cost basis. The new estimates bring the NTI more in line with the rest of the National Accounts.

Levels and shares of tourism spending are expressed in current dollars, adjusted for seasonal variations. Growth rates of tourism spending are expressed in real terms (i.e., adjusted for price changes) as well as adjusted for seasonal variations, unless otherwise indicated. Employment data are also seasonally adjusted. Associated percentage changes are presented at quarterly rates.


With the drop in spending by visitors from abroad, Canada's international travel deficit deteriorated to $1,103 million at current prices. The deficit was $838 million in the previous quarter. A deficit indicates that Canadian travellers spent more abroad than international visitors spent in Canada. The deficit was moderated by a reduction of Canadians' spending abroad in the second quarter.

Domestic spending weakens

Despite continued strength in overall domestic demand and personal disposable income, domestic spending on tourism slipped 0.2% in the second quarter, after a solid 1.0% gain in the first.

With the sharp decline in spending by non-residents, the domestic share of total tourism spending in Canada rose to 70%, continuing the upward trend followed since the events of September 11, 2001.

Air transport and accommodation hit hard

Looking at the commodity purchases of non-residents and Canadians, spending on passenger air transportation was down a sharp 9.4% in the second quarter, while spending on accommodation dropped 8.5%. Expenditures on recreation and entertainment edged down, while spending on vehicle fuel was flat.

Tourism sheds jobs

The second quarter recorded negligible gains in overall employment, but a substantial drop in tourism jobs. Tourism employment fell 2.4% to 572,000 jobs, after a flat first quarter. The drop in tourism employment was widespread, with the brunt of it borne by the accommodation, food and beverage and travel agency industries.

Tourism GDP down sharply

Tourism gross domestic product (GDP), expressed in constant 1997 dollars, fell 4.1% in the second quarter, after edging down 0.2% in the first. As a result, tourism GDP stood 6.5% below its peak reached in the first quarter of 2001. The drop in tourism production was much greater than the 0.1% decline of GDP for the economy as a whole.

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Available on CANSIM: tables 387-0001 to 387-0010.

Definitions, data sources and methods: survey number 1910.

The second quarter 2003 issue of National tourism indicators (13-009-XIB, free) is now available on Statistics Canada's website. From the Our products and services page, under Browse our Internet publications, choose Free, then National accounts. To order a paper copy of the publication (13-009-XPB, free), contact Client services (613-951-3640; fax: 613-951-3618; iead-info-dcrd@statcan.gc.ca).

For more information, or to enquire about the concepts, methods or data quality of this release, contact the information officer (613-951-3640), Income and Expenditure Accounts Division.

National tourism indicators at 1997 prices

Second quarter 2003

  2001 2002 2001 to 2002 Fourth quarter 2002 First quarter 2003 Second quarter 2003 First quarter 2003 to second quarter 2003
  $ millions,  1997 prices % change $ millions, 1997 prices (seasonally adjusted) % change
Total tourism expenditures              
    Tourism demand in Canada
47,802 47,255 -1.1 11,889 11,791 11,288 -4.3
    Tourism demand by non-residents
16,239 15,825 -2.6 4,015 3,841 3,357 -12.6
    Tourism domestic demand
31,563 31,430 -0.4 7,873 7,950 7,931 -0.2
Transportation              
    Tourism demand in Canada
18,626 18,177 -2.4 4,563 4,526 4,254 -6.0
    Tourism demand by non-residents
4,030 3,932 -2.4 985 941 792 -15.8
    Tourism domestic demand
14,596 14,245 -2.4 3,578 3,584 3,462 -3.4
Accommodation              
    Tourism demand in Canada
6,776 6,927 2.2 1,748 1,726 1,580 -8.5
    Tourism demand by non-residents
3,759 3,922 4.3 1,010 968 836 -13.6
    Tourism domestic demand
3,016 3,005 -0.4 739 758 743 -2.0
Food and beverage services              
    Tourism demand in Canada
7,531 7,539 0.1 1,910 1,879 1,847 -1.7
    Tourism demand by non-residents
2,779 2,621 -5.7 667 627 558 -10.9
    Tourism domestic demand
4,752 4,917 3.5 1,242 1,252 1,288 2.9
Other tourism commodities              
    Tourism demand in Canada
7,670 7,520 -2.0 1,889 1,887 1,885 -0.1
    Tourism demand by non-residents
2,273 2,151 -5.4 545 529 489 -7.5
    Tourism domestic demand
5,397 5,369 -0.5 1,344 1,358 1,396 2.8
Other commodities              
    Tourism demand in Canada
7,200 7,093 -1.5 1,778 1,774 1,723 -2.9
    Tourism demand by non-residents
3,398 3,199 -5.9 809 776 681 -12.3
    Tourism domestic demand
3,802 3,893 2.4 970 997 1,042 4.4

National tourism indicators at current prices

Second quarter 2003

  Second quarter 2002 Third quarter 2002 Fourth quarter 2002 First quarter 2003 Second quarter 2003 First quarter 2003 to second quarter 2003
  $ millions current, seasonally adjusted % change
Total tourism expenditures            
    Tourism demand in Canada
12,937 13,053 13,163 13,137 12,211 -7.1
    Tourism demand by non-residents
4,373 4,409 4,521 4,333 3,696 -14.7
    Tourism domestic demand
8,564 8,644 8,642 8,804 8,515 -3.3
Transportation            
    Tourism demand in Canada
4,939 5,052 5,146 5,178 4,542 -12.3
    Tourism demand by non-residents
1,182 1,166 1,215 1,172 925 -21.1
    Tourism domestic demand
3,757 3,886 3,931 4,006 3,616 -9.7
Accommodation            
    Tourism demand in Canada
1,928 1,858 1,866 1,834 1,614 -12.0
    Tourism demand by non-residents
1,065 1,058 1,079 1,028 854 -16.9
    Tourism domestic demand
863 800 787 806 759 -5.8
Food and beverage services            
    Tourism demand in Canada
2,116 2,171 2,174 2,154 2,131 -1.0
    Tourism demand by non-residents
717 749 760 718 644 -10.4
    Tourism domestic demand
1,399 1,422 1,414 1,435 1,487 3.6
Other tourism commodities            
    Tourism demand in Canada
2,086 2,109 2,104 2,106 2,111 0.3
    Tourism demand by non-residents
597 608 622 605 562 -7.0
    Tourism domestic demand
1,489 1,501 1,483 1,501 1,550 3.2
Other commodities            
    Tourism demand in Canada
1,869 1,863 1,873 1,866 1,813 -2.9
    Tourism demand by non-residents
813 827 847 810 710 -12.3
    Tourism domestic demand
1,056 1,036 1,027 1,056 1,103 4.4



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Date Modified: 2003-09-29 Important Notices